19 Jun 2023 - Robert C. Castel_ Chronicle of War #4 - Ukraine has stumbled, the war to consume it has begun
Chronicle of the war with geopolitical analysis by Robert C. Castel #4
December 2022
The face of the war has changed, Ukraine has stalled, the internecine war has begun
How did Robert C. Castel see the war unfolding?
This series is an edited compilation of previous episodes of the Weeks Originals podcast
For the latest analysis, go here:
Previous installments in our series:
Chronicle of War with Geopolitical Analysis by Robert C. Castel #1 (through October 2022):
Robert C. Castel: The Chronicle of War #2 - Putin proclaims new goals, the West proclaims "progressive jihad" (November 2022)
Robert C. Castel: Chronicle of the War #3 - Is the last great Ukrainian success the Russian withdrawal from Herszon? (December 2022)
From the contents of the fourth part:
Where can you get realistic information about war news? How to put together the big picture? How to find the "white elephants"? When can analogies be used? War is not a shadow box: the views of both sides need to be presented: it is not the job of analysts to tell wish-driven narratives.
When and how did the war start? What was the trigger?
The Russian empire's constant goal of exapanation in order to defend its borders has historical patterns.
What was Putin wrong in his preliminary analysis of the situation? Who could have influenced him before the war?
Is the European Union a continuation of Germany by other means?
What have been the stages of the war so far?
Can Ukraine recover from the losses of the war? And can Russia be dismembered?
The danger of a black and white picture.
The most important goal of negotiations is always to avoid nuclear war, other conflicts are subordinated to this, not to escalate the war.
What was the biggest risk for Ukraine during the winter? Why has Russia not been shocked by sanctions and war defeats?
The democratisation of warfare at the strategic level.
What are the axioms of the Russians, the West and Ukraine about the aims of the war?
Why was Russian intelligence wrong about the strength of Ukrainian resistance before the war?
Zelensky is a born military leader, but Putin is Man of the Year
The rise of the spirit of nationalism
Lessons from the missile incident in Poland. The geopolitical infantilism of post-war modern leaders
The EU's biggest challenge is to maintain energy supply and prosperity
Why are there no peace protests in the West? The Waterloo of progressive Western intellectuals.
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Image source: shutterstock/ Puzzlepix
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