Chronicle of the war with geopolitical analysis by Robert C. Castel #7
- January 2023
Gershimov appointed, General Armageddon demoted
Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov, the supreme military commander of the Russian armed forces, has been appointed to head the war in Ukraine, with the current commander-in-chief, Sergei Surovkin, aka General Armageddon, demoted to his deputy by Defence Minister Soygu.
Wagner Group and the siege of Soledar
Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the Wagner mercenary group, announced that his gunmen had taken control of the entire territory of the town of Soledar in the Donetsk region, with fighting still raging in the centre.
Tank supply to Ukraine
Poland has decided to deliver Leopard tanks to Ukraine as part of an international coalition, Polish President Andrzej Duda announced.
Western criticism of the Ukrainian leadership
The Ukrainians are suffering huge losses in the siege of Bahmut, for no reason at all, and are putting the whole war at risk - according to a growing number of Western voices, most recently in an article in Die Welt. One expert told the paper that the Ukrainians are losing too many soldiers and weapons, leaving no resources for offensive operations.
Russian strategy - Chances of ending the war
"To see any prospect of an end to the war, you first need to see a significant victory on one side, which would make both sides in the war think twice before they might decide it would be better to negotiate."
How did Robert C. Castel see the war unfolding?
This series is an edited compilation of previous episodes of the Weeks Originals podcast
For the latest analysis, go here:


Previous installments in our series:
Robert C. Castel: The Chronicle of War #1 (through October 2022):

Robert C. Castel: The Chronicle of War #2 - Putin proclaims new goals, the West proclaims "progressive jihad" (November 2022)

Robert C. Castel: Chronicle of the War #3 - Is the last great Ukrainian success the Russian withdrawal from Herszon? (December 2022)

Robert C. Castel: Chronicle of the War #4 - The face of war has changed, Ukraine has faltered, the internecine war has begun
(December 2022)

Robert C. Castel: The Chronicle of War #5 - Why the Great Russian Anniversary Offensive was delayed (December 2022 - January 2023)

Robert C. Castel: Chronicle of the War #6
- Zelensky in America, Putin in Belarus and who will start 2023 from which position on the Ukrainian-Russian front (December 2022 - January 2023)

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Image source: shutterstock/puzzlepix
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