13 Mar 2023 - Robert C. Castel New crises could sweep away the war in Ukraine Weeks Originals
Robert C. Castel Security Policy Expert
Dedicated copies of the second, expanded edition of The Vertical Coffin are available from the author's website: www.robertccastel.hu
and by email at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..
Topic: How sanctions work from Brussels
- Who is hurt more by the 10 sanctions packages so far?
Topic: Saudi-Iranian reconciliation
- Two old rivals have joined forces. Could this trigger a new nuclear race in the Middle East? What could it mean for America and Israel?
Topic: Bank failures in America, stock market panics worldwide
- Could an external crisis (this or something else in the future) take away America's incentive/opportunity to support Ukraine?
Topic: bakhmut
Ukrainian ground forces commander says holding Bakhmut is increasingly important. President Zelensky added that after the capture of Bakhmut, more Ukrainian settlements could fall, which is why it is important to hold the town.
- For a long time, we have heard that Bakhmut is not a significant strategic target, that it is only symbolically important if the Russians take it. What has changed?
- Can this Ukrainian equation work? What sacrifice does it mean for the Ukrainian army?
- Can the aim be to stall until the arrival of Western arms supplies?
- What can we see from the Ukrainian counter-offensive in the spring? What could be the aim of this, where could a breakthrough be attempted?
Topic: Demographic equations
- What role does the quantitative factor of manpower play in modern warfare? To what extent can this be counterbalanced by qualitative forces and more modern military technology?
- Translated to the situation in Ukraine, what can be read from the demographic indicators of the two countries concerned, from the analysis of population age structure?
Topic: air defence in Ukraine
The effectiveness of Ukraine's air defences has decreased in recent air strikes, with reports from Kiev that only 30-40% of Russian missiles and glide bombs have been destroyed.
- Why is this?
Northern Stream
The silence on the pipeline bombing has been broken, with the New York Times and German newspapers reporting that a group of six pro-Ukrainians carried out the attack on a chartered boat.
- What's the latest story? An explanation for Seymour Hersh's exposé, a distraction from something else, or a warning to Ukraine?
Topic.
Donald Trump would cede parts of Ukraine to Putin. The former president said on Sean Hannity's radio show, "I could have negotiated. At worst, I could have made a deal with them to take something over. There are regions that are Russian-speaking areas, frankly. But I could have made a deal."
- Trump's critics were quick to call for capitulation, Munich. Could such a compromise have been realistic, or would Russia have attacked anyway?
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