12 Sept 2023 - Robert C. Castel Who gets the silk cord for Ukraine
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Robert C. Castel security policy expert
The topics of today's conversation:
What might be at stake at Putin's meeting with Kim Jong Un in Vladivostok? Who needs the other more?
But the face-to-face talks were preceded by a speech from Vladimir Putin, in which he said that Russian defense services had prevented a Ukrainian nuclear sabotage attack in the country.
The G20 final declaration did not condemn Russia, and President Lula announced that if Putin goes to Rio for the G20 in 2024, he will not be arrested. Is Russia coming out of its international isolation?
The Ukrainian army has only a month to a month and a half before the weather stops attempts to continue the counter-offensive, according to General Mark Milley, the US Chief of Staff.
What were the Ukrainian objectives in launching the attack? What was their theory of victory?
What lessons can be drawn from the past 3 months and what can we expect in the 30-41 days ahead?
"It is now clear that Ukraine's long-awaited counter-offensive has been a colossal failure." - says John Mearsheimer.
John Mearsheimer's study on how the West has doomed Ukraine to defeat:
Part 1:
Part 2:
Isn't it premature to call it a "colossal failure"?
What was the problem? Did they start too late? Was it badly planned? Wrongly executed? Or did it seem hopeless from the military point of view and was it only for political reasons?
Can more and better weapons be used to help Ukraine?
What is the military theory for successfully fighting a blitzkrieg? And what historical examples are there?
How can Russian defence and preparedness be assessed?
What was the bottleneck of the Ukrainian offensive? Few trained soldiers? Not enough tanks?
What can be expected after October? What scenarios are possible? What we know is that the American and Anglo-Saxon default position is that they are always morally right, even if they are now saying the opposite of what they said a year and a half ago. But then who will take the blame for the expected failure?
We also cover the news of the war in Ukraine in detail in our News of the Wars column, which appears every morning here on our channel.
War News:
Our other programmes:
What happened today
Robert C. Castel - Chronicle of War
Robert C. Castel Analysis
Breaking News
Fifth Dimension
The secrets of Hungarian prehistory
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